Benyamin Poghosyan - New Leaderships, Armenian Azerbaijani Negotiations, US Defense Attache to Armenia, Midyear Review of 2024 | Ep 347 - July 21, 2024 VIDEO
Chapters
00:00
Intro to show with Dr. Benyamin Poghosyan
00:25
Elections around the world
00:38
How will a potential Trump presidency affect Armenia and the Caucasus?
07:46
On Trump's pick for VP - JD Vance
10:38
Georgian Dream - Will the country tilt west, or not?
18:25
Impact on Armenia
20:51
How are regional countries relating to Georgia's parliamentary elections: Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Turkey?
23:28
Georgia's push towards China
25:22
What is the purpose of Azerbaijan's parliamentary elections?
26:35
What sort of a milestone is COP29 for Azerbaijan and Armenia?
28:12
Azerbaijan undermining US efforts with two preconditions
30:25
What about a framework agreement or agreement in principle, and the Belfast model?
32:23
What would a statement on principles give to Armenia?
34:09
Key question for the west: agreement must lead to Armenia-Turkey border opening
34:43
Has the US clearly stipulated to ALiyev its requirement to greenlight Erdogan for Normalization?
35:40
Who torpedoed the Pashinyan/Aliyev summit in Blenheim Palace in Oxfordshire, UK?
41:28
What's the status of negotiations, and what happened to the border delimitation process?
42:36
Azeri intentions are clear: they will continue to occupy Armenia proper
45:18
Does the EU have any leverage over Azerbaijan?
48:07
The EU has replaced Toivo Klaar with Magdalena Grono. Who is she?
50:47
What "tough compromises" is the US State Department expecting from Armenia and Azerbaijan?
54:19
What leverage does the US have over Azerbaijan to make compromises?
56:15
Could the 3+3 platform provide a venue for bringing Aliyev to the table or at least deter him from more war?
59:35
What's the significance of the US Defense Advisor/Attache posting in the Armenian MoD?
1:03:44
Is there precedent for big powers stationing advisers inside foreign government ministries?
1:05:24
Is Moscow's blocking of Armenian Agri exports a political message?
1:06:27
Mid-year review of our 2024 predictions
1:07:00
Benyamin's 2024 high, medium, and low predictions.
1:08:08
Hovik's high, medium, and low probability predictions.
1:11:16
Asbed's high, medium, and low probability predictions.
1:16:15
Personal thoughts from the participants
1:16:23
Benyamin - Let's be more sober and less emotional about all the wild promises we're hearing like "EU Membership", etc.
1:17:34
About Dr. Benyamin Poghosyan
1:17:50
Final pledge: GIVE to Groong! Become a SUSTAINING member. Episode Summary New Leadership Coming to Many Countries. Aliyev Continues to Thumb the Nose of The West. Permanent US Defense Attaché to Armenia. Mid-year Review of our 2024 Predictions.
Groong Links: Guest: Topics: New Leadership Coming to Many Countries Aliyev Continues to Thumb the Nose of The West Permanent US Defense Attaché to Armenia Mid-year Review of our 2024 Predictions Episode 347 | Recorded: July 22, 2024