Benyamin Poghosyan - New Leaderships, Armenian Azerbaijani Negotiations, US Defense Attache to Armenia, Midyear Review of 2024 | Ep 347 - July 21, 2024

Chapters

1. 00:00 Intro to show with Dr. Benyamin Poghosyan
2. 00:25 Elections around the world
3. 00:38 How will a potential Trump presidency affect Armenia and the Caucasus?
4. 07:46 On Trump's pick for VP - JD Vance
5. 10:38 Georgian Dream - Will the country tilt west, or not?
6. 18:25 Impact on Armenia
7. 20:51 How are regional countries relating to Georgia's parliamentary elections: Russia, Iran, Azerbaijan, Turkey?
8. 23:28 Georgia's push towards China
9. 25:22 What is the purpose of Azerbaijan's parliamentary elections?
10. 26:35 What sort of a milestone is COP29 for Azerbaijan and Armenia?
11. 28:12 Azerbaijan undermining US efforts with two preconditions
12. 30:25 What about a framework agreement or agreement in principle, and the Belfast model?
13. 32:23 What would a statement on principles give to Armenia?
14. 34:09 Key question for the west: agreement must lead to Armenia-Turkey border opening
15. 34:43 Has the US clearly stipulated to ALiyev its requirement to greenlight Erdogan for Normalization?
16. 35:40 Who torpedoed the Pashinyan/Aliyev summit in Blenheim Palace in Oxfordshire, UK?
17. 41:28 What's the status of negotiations, and what happened to the border delimitation process?
18. 42:36 Azeri intentions are clear: they will continue to occupy Armenia proper
19. 45:18 Does the EU have any leverage over Azerbaijan?
20. 48:07 The EU has replaced Toivo Klaar with Magdalena Grono. Who is she?
21. 50:47 What "tough compromises" is the US State Department expecting from Armenia and Azerbaijan?
22. 54:19 What leverage does the US have over Azerbaijan to make compromises?
23. 56:15 Could the 3+3 platform provide a venue for bringing Aliyev to the table or at least deter him from more war?
24. 59:35 What's the significance of the US Defense Advisor/Attache posting in the Armenian MoD?
25. 1:03:44 Is there precedent for big powers stationing advisers inside foreign government ministries?
26. 1:05:24 Is Moscow's blocking of Armenian Agri exports a political message?
27. 1:06:27 Mid-year review of our 2024 predictions
28. 1:07:00 Benyamin's 2024 high, medium, and low predictions.
29. 1:08:08 Hovik's high, medium, and low probability predictions.
30. 1:11:16 Asbed's high, medium, and low probability predictions.
31. 1:16:15 Personal thoughts from the participants
32. 1:16:23 Benyamin - Let's be more sober and less emotional about all the wild promises we're hearing like "EU Membership", etc.
33. 1:17:34 About Dr. Benyamin Poghosyan
34. 1:17:50 Final pledge: GIVE to Groong! Become a SUSTAINING member.