Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin has been the central figure in Russia’s management of the South Caucasus for over two decades. His administration brokered the November 9, 2020 ceasefire that ended the 44-Day War, deployed Russian peacekeepers to Nagorno Karabakh (Artsakh), and positioned Russia as the indispensable mediator between Armenia and Azerbaijan. That architecture has since collapsed: Russia failed to prevent the Lachin Corridor blockade , took no action during Azerbaijan’s September 2023 offensive that resulted in the ethnic cleansing of Artsakh’s entire Armenian population, and watched as Armenia systematically withdrew from Russian-led security and economic structures.

The Ukraine War , which Putin launched in February 2022, fundamentally altered Russia’s capacity and willingness to act in the South Caucasus. With military resources committed to Ukraine and diplomatic isolation from the West deepening, Moscow’s ability to enforce its South Caucasus commitments diminished sharply. Putin’s personal relationships with Aliyev and Pashinyan — and his apparent willingness to tolerate Azerbaijan’s territorial advances — have become a template for how great-power guarantees can unravel when the guarantor’s interests diverge from the guaranteed party’s needs.

Groong covers Putin’s role in South Caucasus affairs through direct analysis of Russian policy, tracking of the peace process mediation formats, and assessment of what Russian withdrawal from its traditional mediating role means for the durability of any future Armenia-Azerbaijan settlement.

Azerbaijan Attacks Artsakh | East West Negotiation Platforms | Armenia and the Rome Statute | Ep 241 - Mar 26, 2023 [EP241]

Posted on Sunday, Mar 26, 2023 | Category: Armenia, Politics, Poll, Azerbaijan, Russia, Nagorno Karabakh, Artsakh Blockade, European Union, Genocide, India, Ukraine, China, Geopolitics, Economy, NATO, Iran, Turkey

Guest:

Benyamin Poghosyan

Topic:

Azerbaijani Attacks over the Weekend
East and West
Armenia and the Rome Statute

Episode 241 | Recorded: March 26, 2023

35th Anniversary of the Sumgait Pogroms | Russia Warns the EU and Armenia | Armenian Azerbaijani Negotiations Continue | Ep 232 - Feb 26, 2023 [EP232]

Posted on Tuesday, Feb 28, 2023 | Category: Armenia, Politics, Artsakh, Nagorno Karabakh, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Ukraine, Russia, Artsakh Blockade, China, NATO, Syria, Genocide, Georgia | Series: wir

Guest:

Arthur Khachikyan

Topics:

35th Anniversary of the Sumgait Pogroms
Turkey after the Earthquake
One Year Anniversary of the War in Ukraine
Azerbaijan-Armenian Negotiations Continue
Personal topics

Episode 232 | Recorded: February 28, 2023

35th Anniversary of the Sumgait Pogroms | Russia Warns the EU and Armenia | Armenian Azerbaijani Negotiations Continue | Ep 232 - Feb 26, 2023 [EP232]

Posted on Tuesday, Feb 28, 2023 | Category: Armenia, Politics, Artsakh, Nagorno Karabakh, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Ukraine, Russia, Artsakh Blockade, China, NATO, Syria, Genocide, Georgia

Guest:

Arthur Khachikyan

Topics:

35th Anniversary of the Sumgait Pogroms
Turkey after the Earthquake
One Year Anniversary of the War in Ukraine
Azerbaijan-Armenian Negotiations Continue
Personal topics

Episode 232 | Recorded: February 28, 2023

Anna Abrahamian: Munich Security Conference | Artsakh [EP230]

Posted on Friday, Feb 24, 2023 | Category: Armenia, Artsakh, Politics, China, Russia, Azerbaijan, Nagorno Karabakh, Artsakh Blockade, Armenian Genocide, Ukraine, NATO, Turkey, Genocide, Iran, Israel, Economy, Syria, European Union, Georgia, Middle East | Series: cog, video

Today weâre going to talk with Anna Abrahamian about two or three topics.

The Munich Security Conference 2023.
Weâll touch on Russian president Putinâs state of the federation address.
The latest political developments in Artsakh.

Guest:

Anna Abrahamian , a geopolitical analyst who splits her time between Moscow and Athens. Having obtained training in international law, Anna has worked in such noteworthy institutions as the Defense Analyses Institute in Athens as well as the Crisis Group in Brussels. Today, Anna provides her analysis on geopolitics and Armenian politics to her

Anna Abrahamian: Munich Security Conference | Artsakh [EP230]

Today weâre going to talk with Anna Abrahamian about two or three topics.

The Munich Security Conference 2023.
Weâll touch on Russian president Putinâs state of the federation address.
The latest political developments in Artsakh.

Guest:

Anna Abrahamian , a geopolitical analyst who splits her time between Moscow and Athens. Having obtained training in international law, Anna has worked in such noteworthy institutions as the Defense Analyses Institute in Athens as well as the Crisis Group in Brussels. Today, Anna provides her analysis on geopolitics and Armenian politics to her