South Caucasus Geopolitics

Hovik and Asbed examine the fourth anniversary of the September 2022 border war, Azerbaijan’s occupation of Armenian territory, Pashinyan’s trajectory toward recognizing Artsakh’s loss, Hajiyev’s revisionist claims at Gandzasar, TRIPP semiconductor leverage, Pashinyan’s Paris space summit visit, Russian financial flows through Armenia, and Russia-Iran coordination in the South Caucasus. Hrant Mikaelian examines U.S. chip diplomacy tied to TRIPP, Armenia’s energy crisis as the nuclear plant nears shutdown, and the structural failures driving Armenia’s  Read More

Hovik and Asbed examine September 2026 developments across Armenia and the South Caucasus, reviewing Artsakh’s remembered independence declaration, Putin’s military base signaling, Armenian Church prosecutions, EU trade negotiations, non-combat military deaths, and political pressures ahead of local elections.

Asbed and Hovik examine Pashinyan’s confrontation with the Armenian Church, Armenia’s balancing act between Russia and the EU, the geopolitical implications of TRIPP, Iran’s military leadership realignment under wartime pressure, the Turkey-Pakistan-Saudi Arabia defense pact, and how these shifts reshape Armenia’s role in the South Caucasus. Richard Campbell discusses the global AI race, data center economics, energy constraints, and Armenia’s Firebird project, examining whether current AI infrastructure investments align with physical and economic realities.

Dr. Archil Sikharulidze discusses Russia’s shifting strategy in the South Caucasus, Georgia’s widening dispute with Europe, Armenia’s move away from Russian alignment, and how regional transit corridors reshape competition among Moscow, Brussels, and Washington. Hovik and Asbed examine escalating regional tensions as Ukraine expands operations into the Caspian Sea, striking Iranian and Russian assets, while analyzing how this merger of northern and southern conflicts affects Armenia, Kazakhstan’s energy security, and Pashinyan’s diplomatic positioning amid new  Read More

We discuss NATO’s 36th summit in Ankara, escalating Iran war developments, examining NATO’s defense spending surge, Trump’s shift on Turkey and F-35 access, Ukraine aid commitments, and what these geopolitical shifts mean for Armenia and the South Caucasus amid ongoing Armenia-Azerbaijan peace negotiations.