Armenia Polls

Last updated: June 15, 2026

Public opinion polling in Armenia serves as a barometer of voter sentiment, party support, and confidence in political institutions at moments of electoral decision and national crisis. Armenian polling is conducted by international organizations including the International Republican Institute (IRI), Sociometer, MPG (a consulting firm), and the Armenian Center for Ethnological and Anthropological Research (CAEAC). Polls measure approval ratings for Pashinyan and Civil Contract , support for opposition parties including the Armenian National Congress , Republican Party of Armenia , Strong Armenia , and Hayastan Dashinq , and public attitudes toward the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process , security, and TRIPP (Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity). Polling has become especially consequential as Armenia approaches the June 7, 2026 parliamentary elections, with multiple surveys released in May 2026 showing substantially different results despite sampling the same electorate.

Significant disparities between disclosed and hidden voting intentions emerged in polling data released before the 2026 election. When IRI and MPG conducted surveys in May 2026, voters reported lower support for opposition parties in direct questioning but indicated higher opposition support when asked about how they would vote if they could do so anonymously or without state pressure. The gap between disclosed and hidden preferences suggests that fear of government retaliation, social pressure, or lack of confidence in ballot secrecy influences how Armenian voters respond to pollsters. This divergence raises fundamental questions about the validity of pre-election polling and the actual composition of the electorate that will cast votes on June 7. Edgar Elbakyan, discussing the wider battle for Armenia’s political future in May 2026, addressed how fear and pressure shape public opinion and why polling results differ so sharply across organizations and methodologies.

The credibility of Armenian polling is further complicated by questions of access, methodology, and the representativeness of respondent samples. International polling organizations operate within constraints imposed by the Armenian government, travel restrictions, and the difficulty of reaching rural populations or communities skeptical of outsiders. Pashinyan’s escalating campaign rhetoric, including his public outburst “Why are you alive?” directed at opposition figures, has intensified the climate of pressure that polls attempt to measure but may simultaneously distort through respondent self-censorship. Whether the 2026 polling data reflects actual voter intention or merely captures the declared preferences of citizens operating under perceived or real state pressure remains contested as Armenia moves toward an election whose outcome may not end at the ballot box.

Groong episodes that include this tag

Below are all Groong episodes tagged with Armenia Polls.

Armenian News: Opposition | Brussels | Alison | Economy | Poll | Artsakh | Ep #132 - Apr 10, 2022 [EP132]

Posted on Tuesday, Apr 12, 2022 | Category: Artsakh, Armenia, Politics, Poll, Russia, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Iran, Ukraine, Economy, India, Georgia, Geopolitics, Human Rights, Nagorno Karabakh, Lebanon, Middle East, NATO, Syria, European Union | Series: wir

Guest(s):

Armenian News Network/Groong Week in Review - April 10, 2022

Topics:

00:00:00 Introduction
00:02:25 Opposition Protests in Yerevan: Thousands showed up to the opposition protest on Tuesday, outlining the red lines for Pashinyan’s dealings with Aliyev, ahead of the meeting in Brussels. Opposition says this is only the beginning, but have yet to indicate what their next steps will be.
00:12:35 Buying Bread from a Man in Brussels: Pashinyan went to Brussels this week to meet with Charles Michel and Ilham Aliyev. Did the Armenian PM

Armenian News: Opposition | Brussels | Alison | Economy | Poll | Artsakh | Ep #132 - Apr 10, 2022 [EP132]

Guest(s):

Armenian News Network/Groong Week in Review - April 10, 2022

Topics:

00:00:00 Introduction
00:02:25 Opposition Protests in Yerevan: Thousands showed up to the opposition protest on Tuesday, outlining the red lines for Pashinyan’s dealings with Aliyev, ahead of the meeting in Brussels. Opposition says this is only the beginning, but have yet to indicate what their next steps will be.
00:12:35 Buying Bread from a Man in Brussels: Pashinyan went to Brussels this week to meet with Charles Michel and Ilham Aliyev. Did the Armenian PM

POWs | War Commission | Degrading Democracy | Lukashenko | MPG poll | Ep #119 - Feb 13, 2022 [EP119]

Posted on Tuesday, Feb 15, 2022 | Category: Artsakh, Armenia, Politics, Poll, Russia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Turkey, China, Ukraine, Georgia, Israel, USA, Economy, Human Rights, Nagorno Karabakh, European Union, Geopolitics, Lebanon, NATO, Syria | Series: wir

ANN/Groong Week in Review - February 13, 2022

Topics:

00:00:00 Introduction
00:02:43 8 More POWs Released, But What At What Cost?
00:20:40 Parliamentary Commission on the 44-Day War Established
00:33:42 The Degrading Norms of Democracy in Armenia
00:46:42 Who Needs Armenia?
01:06:32 Latest MPG Poll Results in Yerevan
01:18:51 Rants

Guest:

Benyamin Poghosyan

Guest(s):

Benyamin Poghosyan

Hosts:

Hovik Manucharyan TW/@HovikYerevan
Asbed Bedrossian TW/@qubriq

Episode 119 | Recorded: Sunday, February 14, 2022 Website: https://groong.org/podcasts/WiR-20220213.html

POWs | War Commission | Degrading Democracy | Lukashenko | MPG poll | Ep #119 - Feb 13, 2022 [EP119]

ANN/Groong Week in Review - February 13, 2022

Topics:

00:00:00 Introduction
00:02:43 8 More POWs Released, But What At What Cost?
00:20:40 Parliamentary Commission on the 44-Day War Established
00:33:42 The Degrading Norms of Democracy in Armenia
00:46:42 Who Needs Armenia?
01:06:32 Latest MPG Poll Results in Yerevan
01:18:51 Rants

Guest:

Benyamin Poghosyan

Guest(s):

Benyamin Poghosyan

Hosts:

Hovik Manucharyan TW/@HovikYerevan
Asbed Bedrossian TW/@qubriq

Episode 119 | Recorded: Sunday, February 14, 2022 Website: https://groong.org/podcasts/WiR-20220213.html

Ukraine Crisis | Vahagn Khachatryan for President | New IRI Poll Results | Ep #118 - Feb 6, 2022 [EP118]

Posted on Wednesday, Feb 9, 2022 | Category: Armenia, Politics, Poll, Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, China, Azerbaijan, Genocide, India, Economy, Iran, Armenian Genocide, Artsakh, Georgia, Nagorno Karabakh, European Union, NATO | Series: wir

ANN/Groong Week in Review - February 6, 2022

Topics:

00:00 Introduction
01:10 The Continuing Ukraine Crisis
- Putin in Beijing, Erdogan in Kyiv, Pashinyan at Olympic Diplomacy?
23:44 Civil Contract Nominates Vahagn Khachatryan for President
41:21 New IRI Poll Results
58:57 Rants

Guests:

Dr. Pietro Shakarian

Guest(s):

Pietro Shakarian

Hosts:

Hovik Manucharyan https://twitter.com/HovikYerevan
Asbed Bedrossian https://twitter.com/qubriq

Episode 118 | Recorded: Sunday, February 8, 2022 Website: https://groong.org/podcasts/WiR-20220206.html

Ukraine Crisis | Vahagn Khachatryan for President | New IRI Poll Results | Ep #118 - Feb 6, 2022 [EP118]

ANN/Groong Week in Review - February 6, 2022

Topics:

00:00 Introduction
01:10 The Continuing Ukraine Crisis
- Putin in Beijing, Erdogan in Kyiv, Pashinyan at Olympic Diplomacy?
23:44 Civil Contract Nominates Vahagn Khachatryan for President
41:21 New IRI Poll Results
58:57 Rants

Guests:

Dr. Pietro Shakarian

Guest(s):

Pietro Shakarian

Hosts:

Hovik Manucharyan https://twitter.com/HovikYerevan
Asbed Bedrossian https://twitter.com/qubriq

Episode 118 | Recorded: Sunday, February 8, 2022 Website: https://groong.org/podcasts/WiR-20220206.html

President Resigns | Ukraine Standoff | Vahan Kerobyan, Min of Comedy | Ep #114 - Jan 23, 2022 [EP114]

Posted on Wednesday, Jan 26, 2022 | Category: Artsakh, Armenia, Politics, Poll, Russia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, China, Georgia, Turkey, USA, Iran, India, NATO, European Union | Series: wir

ANN/Groong Week in Review - January 23, 2022

Topics:

00:00 Introduction
01:04 President Armen Sarkissian Resigns
20:46 Russia-NATO Standoff over Ukraine
47:55 Vahan Kerobyan, Minister of Comedy

Guests:

Dr. Pietro Shakarian

Guest(s):

Pietro Shakarian

Hosts:

Hovik Manucharyan twitter.com/HovikYerevan
Asbed Bedrossian twitter.com/qubriq

Episode 114 | Recorded: Sunday, January 25, 2022

President Resigns | Ukraine Standoff | Vahan Kerobyan, Min of Comedy | Ep #114 - Jan 23, 2022 [EP114]

Posted on Wednesday, Jan 26, 2022 | Category: Artsakh, Armenia, Politics, Poll, Russia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, China, Georgia, Turkey, USA, Iran, India, NATO, European Union

ANN/Groong Week in Review - January 23, 2022

Topics:

00:00 Introduction
01:04 President Armen Sarkissian Resigns
20:46 Russia-NATO Standoff over Ukraine
47:55 Vahan Kerobyan, Minister of Comedy

Guests:

Dr. Pietro Shakarian

Guest(s):

Pietro Shakarian

Hosts:

Hovik Manucharyan twitter.com/HovikYerevan
Asbed Bedrossian twitter.com/qubriq

Episode 114 | Recorded: Sunday, January 25, 2022

Aram Navasardyan: How to Explain The MPG Polling Discrepancy? (Ep #75) - June 21, 2021 [EP75]

Posted on Monday, Jun 21, 2021 | Category: In Armenian, Armenia, Politics, Poll, | Series: cog

How to Explain The MPG Polling Discrepancy With Election Results? A Conversation (in Armenian) with Aram Navasardyan

Guest: Aram Navasardyan is Director of MPG, a member of Gallup International Association and one of the main pollsters in the pre-election campaign for June 2021 parliamentary elections.

– Ինչպե՞ս բացատրել MPG- ի հարցումների անհամապատասխանությունը ընտրությունների արդյունքների հետ Զրույց Արամ Նավասարդյանի հետ

Հյուր: Արամ Նավասարդյանը MPG- ի տնօրենն է որը հանդիսանում է Gallup International Association- ի անդամ և հիմնական հետազոտական կազմակերպություններից մեկն եր 2021

Aram Navasardyan: How to Explain The MPG Polling Discrepancy? (Ep #75) - June 21, 2021 [EP75]

Posted on Monday, Jun 21, 2021 | Category: In Armenian, Armenia, Politics, Poll,

How to Explain The MPG Polling Discrepancy With Election Results? A Conversation (in Armenian) with Aram Navasardyan

Guest: Aram Navasardyan is Director of MPG, a member of Gallup International Association and one of the main pollsters in the pre-election campaign for June 2021 parliamentary elections.