
The 36th NATO summit in Ankara revealed Turkey’s growing influence within the alliance. Asbed and Hovik analyze what Trump’s reported willingness to restore F-35 access to Turkey signals about U.S. strategy in the region, the scale of NATO’s defense spending commitments, and the framework for long-term Ukraine military aid. The conversation touches on how these developments intersect with broader U.S. strategic interests in the South Caucasus , including competition with Russia and China.
The hosts examine Iran’s military escalation, particularly its capacity to pressure the Strait of Hormuz and global energy markets. They assess whether the U.S.-Iran confrontation is being managed around financial constraints and what Tehran’s strategic concerns are regarding TRIPP, the U.S.-backed transit corridor. Iran views TRIPP as a direct security threat because it would reduce Russian and Iranian influence over regional logistics networks. Pashinyan appears unbothered by Iran’s objections, but the hosts question whether Armenia can guarantee political neutrality of the corridor when a U.S. entity controls most of the joint venture, and whether Western pressure is delaying Armenia-Iran strategic partnerships.
On the domestic front, Pashinyan ’s use of “scissors” as a metaphor for disputed border areas signals potential preparation for new territorial concessions. The hosts probe the missing maps in delimitation talks, the 29,743-square-kilometer figure, and whether disputed enclaves like Artsvashen and Tigranashen could be traded away. They note that Azerbaijan has not ratified the border agreement with the same formality as Armenia, raising questions about its binding nature. Meanwhile, Strong Armenia’s withdrawals from the party list expose internal fractures in the Established Opposition, and Civil Contract governors who were listed as parliamentary candidates are remaining as regional governors instead.
Watch/Listen: Episode 567
Keywords: NATO summit, Turkey, F-35, Ukraine War , Iran War , TRIPP, Zangezur Corridor, Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Process , South Caucasus, Pashinyan, Border delimitation, Syunik, 2026 Armenian Parliamentary Election , Civil Contract , Established Opposition
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