A Ground War on Iran by Spring

Asked where a renewed conflict with Iran would unfold, Aghajanian gives a detailed and alarming answer. She expects any future operation to pull in all of Iran’s neighbors. She points to earlier plans she says involved Kurdish forces as a ground element during events in January and February, and she names Turkey and Azerbaijan as certain participants, along with Afghanistan and Pakistan as routes for infiltration across easily crossed borders.

She adds an internal dimension: unrest inside Iran, and attempts to stir riots and separatist movements in both the northwest and the south, which she suggests could serve as a pretext for outside forces to move in. The picture she paints is one of a coordinated, multi-front ground campaign, and she repeats her view that air operations alone have already failed to achieve their aims.

This moment highlights the risk of a wider war directly on Armenia’s doorstep. If Turkey and Azerbaijan are staging grounds, the implications for Syunik, for the transit corridor, and for Armenian security are immediate. Aghajanian ties this forecast to her expectation, stated elsewhere in the episode, that renewed hostilities could emerge in the spring of the coming year. For listeners tracking the South Caucasus and the Middle East together, the clip connects the dots between an Iran operation and the regional architecture being built around it, delivered with the specificity that makes a prediction memorable and shareable.