The Second Front Plan: Jermuk Was Orchestrated

In this exchange, Hovik restates a claim that stops the conversation cold: that Pashinyan, acting alongside Azerbaijan and Turkey, tried to open a second front against Russia through the September 2022 fighting around Jermuk. He points to the fact that the names of the dead were never published years later. Aghajanian confirms her reading directly, calling the events orchestrated, and adds that the orchestration came from Western countries with the United States as part of it, together with Azerbaijan and the Armenian government.

Aghajanian places the timing at the moment Russia was at its weakest in the Ukraine War. She connects it to disclosures by Georgian officials that they too were pushed to open a second front against Russia at the same time. In her analysis, the goal was to activate every hot spot around what she calls Russia’s belly, from the Baltic Sea to Japan, in an effort to blow up the Russian state. These claims are presented in the episode as Aghajanian’s analysis, and the hosts press her on them.

The moment matters because it reframes the 2022 border attack as something other than a simple Azerbaijani land grab. It ties Armenia’s internal politics under Civil Contract to the wider Ukraine War, the CSTO’s role, and the strategic map of the South Caucasus. For viewers following Nikol Pashinyan, Vladimir Putin, and the collapse of Armenia’s security relationship with Moscow, this is a provocative thesis that invites debate and pushback, exactly the kind of claim that travels on social platforms. Whether one accepts or rejects the argument, it captures the depth of distrust between Yerevan and Moscow and the belief among critics that Armenia’s territory was gambled for outside interests.