Iran Preparing for Phase 3 War Against Israel and the US
Iran knows a third phase of conflict is coming, and they're preparing militarily, politically, and economically for it.
In this moment, Ambassador Dziunik Aghajanian outlines Iran’s comprehensive preparation strategy for what she sees as an inevitable third phase of the Iran-Israel conflict. Rather than viewing the recent US-Iran memorandum of understanding as a genuine path to peace, Aghajanian characterizes it as a temporary pause during which the US and Israel are repositioning militarily, allowing Iran time to prepare its own defenses.
Aghajanian details multiple dimensions of Iranian preparation: military site reconstruction and enhanced defensive capabilities, strategic planning for potential ground operations, public messaging to maintain domestic support, and identification of what she calls hidden intelligence cells working against Iran. She also discusses Iran’s economic preparations, including the release of frozen assets for reconstruction and development of alternative logistics routes, particularly through Pakistan to China, to circumvent potential US-led blockades on Iranian oil exports.
The analysis frames Iran’s actions as realistic and forward-looking rather than naive or compliant. Aghajanian emphasizes that Iranian leadership understands the temporary nature of the current pause and is using the time strategically to strengthen military defenses, economic resilience, and domestic cohesion ahead of anticipated renewed confrontation. This moment provides insight into how major geopolitical actors assess risk and prepare for extended regional conflicts in the Middle East.
Transcript
Asbed: Ambassador, Asbed: Iran probably knows 10 times as much as we do, Asbed: So they also know that Asbed: The US and Israel may be reloading for phase three Asbed: Of this conflict, let's say from December on, whenever it happens. Asbed: How are they preparing for the next phase? Dziunik: Well, I think they are preparing by, again, reconstructing Dziunik: The military sites and capacities. Dziunik: Also, Dziunik: I think they are preparing plans knowing well that that might entail ground attack Dziunik: On the ways that they can respond so that they could stop that particular plan Dziunik: In its first instances Dziunik: And as well they are preparing for the country and the public for the continuation Dziunik: Of the war because they know that unless the public backs the government and Dziunik: The administration the regime in the country it will be very difficult to continue Dziunik: The defense of Iran and it will be easier for the enemies to blow up the country Dziunik: From inside