
Episode 548 | Recorded: May 22, 2026
#Armenia #ArmenianElections #ArmenianPolitics #Artsakh #SouthCaucasus #CivilContract #StrongArmenia #HayastanDashinq
This Conversations on Groong episode provides a voter-oriented primer on Armenia’s June 7, 2026 parliamentary elections. The hosts review the election rules, the proportional system, thresholds, coalition mechanics, and the “stable majority” provision, then assess the broader political environment facing the opposition. The discussion also explains how MPG polling, party programs, CEC candidate lists, and geopolitical positioning help clarify which parties may be viable, what they stand for, and how they differ on Artsakh, Russia, Iran, TRIPP, the EU, the U.S., and Armenia’s regional security choices.
Armenia’s National Assembly elections use a proportional representation system.
Voters choose a party or alliance list, not individual candidates.
Parties and alliances submit closed candidate lists to the Central Electoral Commission.
Seats are distributed based on each force’s vote share, but only if that force clears the legal threshold.
Thresholds:
There is no minimum turnout requirement. The election is valid regardless of turnout.
The National Assembly has 101 seats, with up to four additional seats reserved for national minorities:
Candidate lists must include at least 30% women.
No more than 30% of candidates on a list may be non-party “independent” candidates.
If one force wins more than half the seats, it can form a government alone.
Armenia has a “stable majority” rule: if the winning force does not reach 52% of mandates, it may receive extra seats to reach that level.
If no force can govern alone, parties have six days after preliminary results to form a coalition and agree on a prime ministerial candidate.
If no coalition is formed, a second round is held 28 days after the first vote.
Only the top two forces from the first round take part in the runoff.
The runoff winner receives enough extra mandates to hold a 52% majority.
Campaign finance rules require each force to use a transparent pre-election fund.
Registration deposits:
Deposits are refundable if:
Campaign spending is capped at 800 million AMD.
An additional 200 million AMD is allowed if there is a second round.
Foreign funding and foreign interference are formally prohibited.
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.1%
Founded in 2016 by Vahan Babayan. Viewed as a marginal player that draws small amounts of protest votes away from the opposition. Failed to secure results in the 2018 Yerevan elections.
Head of list Vagharshak Harutyunyan had his rank restored by Pashinyan in 2019. He served as Minister of Defense from 2020 to 2021 after the war, signing the withdrawal agreement ceding territory. He later served as Ambassador to Russia from 2022 to 2024. He is seen as a compliant “yes man” to the regime.
Vagharshak Harutyunyan
Vahan Babayan
MPG poll (2026-05-22): 1.9%
Single-issue protest movement seeking a 100-day interim government to change the election code and lower thresholds. Viewed as a potential “spoiler” force. MPG poll rating grew from 0.6% to 1.9% between April and May.
The base consists largely of youth, IT professionals, and NGO workers. Many members are former members of the Citizen’s Decision / Քաղաքացու Որոշում party, which was formed in November 2018 as the “guarantor” of the aims and aspirations of the “Velvet Revolution.”
Nina Karapetyants
Spartak Kyureghyan
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 14.9%
Founded by billionaire and major Armenian benefactor Samvel Karapetyan. Strong Armenia is framed as a state-capacity, sovereignty-first force focused on economic restoration, defense rebuilding, and national-interest protection. The party has a mandatory constitutional reform plank to allow Samvel Karapetyan to serve as PM despite residency and citizenship constraints.
Operating with “two hands tied” due to the arrest of Samvel Karapetyan, top leadership such as Arthur Avanesyan, and many activists and organizers. Faces state-led disinformation that Karapetyan is a “Russian agent” and that Narek Karapetyan is a Russian citizen. Russian officials have formally denied the citizenship claims.
Electoral Bloc Partners
Non-bloc Supporting Members
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 2.8%
Advocates for a “meritocracy” system, meaning governance by the capable, and a state centered on Armenian national interests. Simonyan promotes the “Dignified Peace” doctrine, rejecting unilateral concessions and stressing that sovereignty is maintained through strategic self-reliance and rebuilding national defense capacity.
Identifies Russia as a strategic threat and calls for Armenia’s exit from the CSTO and EAEU. Proposes deep security integration with the West and the EU. Views the “Crossroads of Peace” as a potential risk to Armenian logistics and advocates for a multi-vector foreign policy that prioritizes regional partners who respect Armenia’s territorial integrity.
Gurgen Simonyan
Party Positioning
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 2.7%
Oriented toward the West and Europe, and positioned as a “third way” for voters disillusioned with both the current government and the pre-2018 order. Focuses on anti-corruption, municipal-level reform, and a social-democratic, “European-model” development path for Armenia.
Marutyan participated in the 2018 regime change and collaborated with Pashinyan’s party even after the 2020 catastrophe, serving as mayor of Yerevan until Civil Contract removed him in December 2021. He introduced the divisive “black vs. white” rhetoric in the 2018 Yerevan city elections.
Hayk Marutyan
Strategic Positioning
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 5.8%
Program linked to traditional nationalist values. Founder Arman Tatoyan, the PM candidate, is listed as a non-party candidate on CEC documents. Tatoyan holds an anti-Pashinyan, opposition-trending position since entering politics.
Tatoyan remained Ombudsman after 2020, staying out of inter-party politics despite Pashinyan’s policies. Davit Ananyan, second on the list, headed the State Revenue Committee under Pashinyan until 2020.
Key Policy Planks
Opposition Risks and Alliances
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 8.7%
Led by Gagik Tsarukyan, one of Armenia’s wealthiest individuals. The party maintains a strong reputation in the regions, especially Kotayk, driven by philanthropic activity and local employment.
While running under the “Prosperous Armenia” banner, the ticket includes members from two other parties who would serve as independent MPs. Includes notable non-party figures such as former Foreign Minister Ara Ayvazyan, who served from November 2020 to May 2021, and is known for his reputable standing and eventual resignation over policy disagreements.
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.2%
A radical, pro-Western fringe group advocating for an immediate, total break from Russian security and economic influence. Positions Armenia as the legal successor of the First Republic, 1918-1920. Proposes a “transitional state” model through an anti-crisis government.
Rebranded from Sasna Tsrer, which was involved in the 2016 police station seizure. Employs U.S. lobbyists, Livingston Group. Its foreign-policy advocate Ara Papian supports Treaty of Sevres claims over “Western Armenia,” often criticized as unrealistic given current security priorities.
Foreign Policy and Territorial Claims
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.4%
A nationalist party focused on cultural and national identity. It largely acts as an auxiliary force for the former opposition spectrum, known as the “Nakhkins.” Believed to be opposition-aligned and strongly anti-Pashinyan.
Artak Sargsyan is the PM candidate. Information on his background is limited, but in Kenya he is known as “Arthur” from the “Arthur brothers” scandal. The party program is missing from the CEC website. Hmayak Hovhannisyan is a prominent Armenian political scientist and former member of parliament.
Key Tenets and Security
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.3%
ANC advocates for a realist, multi-vector platform and neutrality in the West-Russia confrontation. ANC positions Armenia as a bridge, not a battlefield. It supports a “TRIPP+BRICS” concept to turn Armenia into an international transit hub linking North-South and East-West routes.
Headed by Levon Zurabyan. The party advocates closing the “Artsakh page” regarding the conflict while supporting the collective right of return, property rights, and legal protection in international courts. It focuses on socio-economic integration of refugees in Armenia.
Security, Infrastructure, and Energy
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 1.3%
Aram Z. Sargsyan is firmly pro-Western and highly critical of Russia. The party is ideologically aligned with Civil Contract’s goals regarding European integration and is seen as a reliable ally capturing Western-leaning voters without challenging Pashinyan’s core governance.
Advocates for total security realignment: leaving the joint Armenia-Russia air-defense system, CSTO, CIS, and EAEU. Calls for Armenia to build closer ties with the U.S., France, and EU, targeting EU membership by 2032 and using TRIPP as a core tool for sovereignty.
Key Program Planks
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.2%
A small party driven by traditional and conservative values. It is firmly pro-Western and anti-Russian. The party is generally aligned with the Pashinyan administration on foreign policy.
The party program is missing from the CEC website, making detailed policy analysis difficult.
Key Tenets
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.1%
Tigran Urikhanyan, a former Prosperous Armenia MP, is currently in Moscow and pursued by Armenia for corruption and calls to seize power. The party is viewed as an electoral dead-end with no ties to major power centers.
Focuses on socio-economic populism. The party program is missing from the CEC website. Tigran Urikhanyan’s name is crossed out in CEC listings, confirming his disqualification.
Key Tenets and Positioning
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.1%
Suren Petrosyan claims to have started the “Tavush for Homeland” movement, but allegedly disappeared during the June 12 events. He later claimed government officials showed him “scary stuff,” leading to perceptions that he betrayed Bagrat Srbazan.
A national-sovereigntist, anti-establishment platform, anti-Pashinyan and anti-former-regime. Rejects “orientation politics” for “self-determination,” prioritizing national interest over choosing between great powers.
A “balance doctrine”: calls Russia a strategic ally, the U.S. an important partner, and seeks strategic-level ties with Iran, Georgia, China, and India. Rejects anti-Western or anti-Russian lines.
Key Tenets and Artsakh
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 3.4%
Known for aggressive, populist anti-establishment rhetoric. Serves as a protest vehicle for disillusioned voters hostile to both the current administration and old opposition. Leader Vardan Ghukasyan is currently disqualified and believed to be in U.S. detention.
Anti-privilege, sovereigntist “balance doctrine” platform. Focuses on cutting state waste, including service cars and perks, making spending transparent, and judicial reform via digital tools and legal vetting.
Rejects “camp politics” and sharp geopolitical turns. Calls for reworked relations with Russia based on sovereignty, deeper dialogue with the U.S., and using EU ties for governance reform. Prioritizes logistics and energy security with Iran and Georgia.
Key Tenets and Artsakh
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 28.8%
Shifted from 2021 promises of “de-occupation” of Shushi and Hadrut to claiming Artsakh was never Armenian. Now treats the issue as closed, referring to refugees as “escapees,” while claiming surrendering Artsakh strengthened independence.
Repeatedly complies with Aliyev’s demands for concessions. Failed to prevent the 2023 ethnic cleansing or secure the release of detainees in Baku. Interferes in Church affairs in violation of the constitution.
According to Harout Sassounian, the administration has allowed the Azerbaijani army to occupy parts of the Republic of Armenia since 2021-2022 after mismanagement of the 2020 war.
Key Tenets and Podcast Insight
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 12.1%
A security-first, sovereigntist, anti-Pashinyan opposition bloc. Led by Robert Kocharyan, it advocates for disciplined, state-centered leadership to restore state strength and national unity.
Aims to rebuild defense capacity, restore deterrence, and strengthen borders. Seeks to restore strategic relations with Russia and deepen ties with Iran. Supports BRICS engagement and integration as part of a wider economic strategy.
Maintains Artsakh Armenians’ rights, POWs, and cultural heritage on the national agenda. Skeptical of TRIPP-style corridor logic; insists all transit routes must remain under Armenian sovereignty.
Electoral Bloc Partners
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 0.5%
A small liberal faction focusing on civil rights and institutional reform. Led by Arman Babajanyan, it is considered a Pashinyan-loyalist group. Lacks the resources to significantly affect the electoral outcome.
Babajanyan’s media outlet, 1-in.am, is among Armenia’s largest. The party is known for vocal protests against the Russian embassy and advocating for Western integration.
Azat Arshakyan, fourth on the list, is a veteran politician and former Soviet dissident who spent more than a decade as a political prisoner. He served as a deputy in the Supreme Council and National Assembly from 1990 to 1999. He is a prominent advocate for Western integration and democratic reforms.
The official party program is missing from the CEC website.
MPG poll (2025-06-22): 2.9%
Ովքեր կազատվեն բանտերից կամ կպատժվեն. քաղաքական ուժերն ի՞նչ են խոստանում ընտրողին (Hetq)
Հայտնի է՝ քաղաքական ուժերը որ համարի ներքո հանդես կգան ընտրական քվեաթերթիկում (Yerkir)
19 քաղաքական ուժ ԱԺ ընտրություններին մասնակցելու հայտ է ներկայացրել (Hetq)
«Նոր ուժ» ռեֆորմիստական կուսակցության նախընտրական ցուցակի առաջին տասնյակը (Aravot)
Նրանք դեմ են բոլորին (Hetq)
Strong Armenia - Top 36 (Hetq)
The Insider Disinfo Articles:
Strong Armenia’s Narek Karapetyan charged with concealing Russian citizenship (Civilnet)
Գուրգեն Սիմոնյանը ուզում է վարչապետ դառնալ. ո՞վ է Գուրգեն Սիմոնյանը (Azatututyun)
Criminal proceedings against Tigran Urikhanyan, who made calls to seize power
«Հայաստան» դաշինքի ցուցակը կգլխավորի Ռոբերտ Քոչարյանը (Hetq)
Թաթոյանի «Միասնության թևեր»-ը հրապարակել է ընտրական ցուցակը (Hetq)
«Քոչարի ազգային վերածնունդ և ազգի զարթոնք» կուսակցությունը քարոզարշավի երկրորդ օրը եղել է Հաղթանակի այգում (Armenpress)
African Leader Distances Himself From Armenian Saga (Azatutyun)
Harut Sassounian: Will Nikol Pashinyan Remain in Office After June 7 Parliamentary Elections?
Advocates for a “European-model” national state. Once a serious contender, the party is currently struggling for relevance. Due to past formal alliances with the ruling party, many observers perceive it as a “controlled” opposition group.
The party is tempering its heavily pro-European past. While still supporting a European-style democracy, it no longer runs on fast EU accession. It opposes breaking ties with Russia and Iran and remains hostile to the TRIPP project as currently defined.
That’s our show, we hope you found it helpful. We invite your feedback and your suggestions, you can find us on most social media and podcast platforms.
Thanks to Laura Osborn for the music on our podcasts.

Asbed Bedrossian is an IT professional, and for years oversaw the central IT enterprise infrastructure and services at USC. His decades of experience spanned across IT strategy, enterprise architecture, infrastructure, cybersecurity, enterprise applications, data center operations, high performance computing, ITSM, ITPM, and more.
Asbed founded the Armenian News Network Groong circa 1989/1990, and co-founded the ANN/Groong podcast in 2020.

Hovik Manucharyan is an information security engineer who moved from Seattle to Armenia in 2022. He co-founded the ANN/Groong podcast in 2020 and has been a contributor to Groong News since the late 1990s.
Disclaimer: The views expressed by Hovik Manucharyan on the ANN/Groong podcast are his own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of his employer or any other organization.