Anna Grigoryan, a member of the Armenian Parliament representing Hayastan Dashinq (Armenia Alliance), joins Groong to discuss the political landscape ahead of the June 7 parliamentary elections. The conversation opens with the alliance’s decision to launch its campaign in Etchmiadzin, a choice Grigoryan describes as symbolic given what she frames as Pashinyan’s ongoing confrontation with the Armenian Apostolic Church. The bulk of the early discussion focuses on the European Political Community summit held in Yerevan on May 4, just days before the official campaign period began. Grigoryan characterizes the summit as de facto interference in Armenia’s domestic affairs, arguing that the presence of dozens of European heads of state and government, all offering unqualified support for Pashinyan, undermined any pretense of neutrality. She also criticized European leaders for ignoring what she describes as systematic democratic backsliding inside Armenia, including the jailing of political opponents and restrictions on civil society. The opposition organized protests during the summit to raise awareness of Armenian prisoners held in Baku, the rights of Artsakh Armenians, and election integrity concerns, though Grigoryan acknowledged that those voices were largely drowned out by the official proceedings.
A significant portion of the episode covers Azerbaijani President Aliyev’s remote appearance at the EPC summit, during which he referred to Artsakh Armenians as terrorists and separatists. Grigoryan expressed deep frustration that Pashinyan did not respond or push back, and she noted that Pashinyan has himself made statements suggesting Artsakh was never Armenian soil, a position she finds indistinguishable from Azerbaijani propaganda. She also challenged French President Macron’s characterization of pre-2018 Armenia as a “Russian satellite,” pointing out that the Russian military base remains in Gyumri, Armenia is still a member of the Eurasian Economic Union and the CSTO, and economic dependence on Russia has actually increased under Pashinyan. Meanwhile, she questioned what Armenia concretely gained from hosting the summit, contrasting the vague promise of a long-delayed 2.6 billion euro EU package with the substantive bilateral agreements Azerbaijan signed with Italy and other European states during the same period. On the EU’s funding of a so-called hybrid threat response team in Armenia, Grigoryan was skeptical, arguing that the government was using inflated language about foreign information manipulation to access European money while the real threat to Armenia’s security comes from Azerbaijan, not from Russia-linked disinformation.
On coalition math and electoral strategy, Grigoryan pushed back against concerns that Hayastan Dashinq’s 8% bloc threshold poses an existential risk, calling such framing a deliberate attempt by rival forces to suppress their vote. She indicated that internal polling gives the alliance confidence, and noted that Strong Armenia currently leads among opposition forces according to public surveys. She affirmed that Hayastan Dashinq will support any post-election arrangement that removes Pashinyan from power, regardless of which opposition party leads the coalition, and that the party with the most opposition votes has the logical claim to nominate a prime minister. She declined to name alternative candidates to Robert Kocharyan on the grounds that doing so mid-campaign would be premature, but she was unambiguous that those responsible for the loss of Artsakh must be held accountable, ruling out any blanket amnesty for senior decision-makers. On the question of whether Armenia is ready for a woman prime minister, Grigoryan said simply that neither the country nor she herself is ready for that step at this moment, given the scale of the security and diplomatic challenges Armenia faces.
On policy substance, Grigoryan listed security as the top priority by far, followed by economic reform, free higher education, the release of political prisoners, and active negotiations with Azerbaijan for the return of prisoners of war. She stated that a Hayastan Dashinq-led government would renegotiate the initialed Armenia-Azerbaijan peace treaty to obtain better terms for Armenia, rejecting the framing that renegotiation is synonymous with war. She was skeptical about the TRIPP transport corridor project in its current form, arguing that it functions primarily as a route benefiting Azerbaijan and Turkey, and that its viability is further undermined by the ongoing conflict involving Iran. She also raised concern that the current agreement allows the American 74% stake to be sold to any third party, potentially including Turkey or Azerbaijan, without Armenian input. On education, Grigoryan argued that the government has focused narrowly on infrastructure while neglecting teacher salaries, curriculum quality, and the transmission of Armenian national values to younger generations. She closed by warning that if the June 7 elections are falsified, all opposition parties must be prepared to take to the streets to defend the votes of the Armenian people.
Watch/Listen: Episode 544
Keywords: Anna Grigoryan, Hayastan Dashinq, 2026 Armenian parliamentary elections, EPC summit, Armenia-Azerbaijan peace treaty, TRIPP corridor, Artsakh right of return, Armenian political prisoners
The European Political Community summit in Yerevan dominated the week’s news, and Asbed Bedrossian and Hovik Manucharyan argue that the event functioned less as a diplomatic gathering and more as a stage for anti-Russian messaging. Zelensky’s presence in Yerevan, where he issued threats directed at Russia on the eve of Victory Day, drew a sharp response from the Russian Foreign Ministry, which criticized the Armenian government for failing to distance itself from those remarks. Tikhanovskaya, the Belarus opposition leader recognized by several EU states as the country’s legitimate president, was received in Yerevan with full diplomatic protocol, a move that further strained relations with Minsk. Putin responded by suggesting that a referendum on Armenia’s EU integration would be “logical,” framing potential disengagement from Russia as a “gentle, civilised, and mutually beneficial separation,” while drawing explicit parallels to Ukraine’s trajectory. The hosts note that Russia accounts for roughly 35.5 percent of Armenia’s total trade, compared to Azerbaijan’s trade with Armenia that amounts to barely a thousand dollars in exports, making any rupture with Moscow asymmetrically damaging to Yerevan. The 44-point Armenia-EU joint declaration drew detailed scrutiny: its endorsement of TRIPP in point 12 marked the first explicit EU backing of that corridor concept, while point 18 referenced decommissioning the Armenian Nuclear Power Plant without identifying a replacement energy source. The hosts treat both provisions as serious threats to Armenian sovereignty and energy security, and note that language on visa liberalization, though politically useful for Pashinyan ahead of elections, carries no binding timeline and offers little practical benefit to the majority of Armenians living in poverty.
With the official campaign season opening on May 8 ahead of the June 7 parliamentary elections, Pashinyan launched his campaign in Syunik and immediately set a tone that alarmed the hosts. His assertion that Artsakh “was never ours” and that Armenia “never built anything there” represents a sharp reversal from his 2019 declaration that “Artsakh is Armenia,” and mirrors Azerbaijani government talking points almost exactly. The hosts note that Aliyev toured occupied Artsakh in the same week, stating that Armenians who continue to “hate Azerbaijanis” in political life will cause “major problems” for the Armenian people, a statement the hosts characterize as direct interference in Armenia’s electoral politics and a coordinated tag-team message with Pashinyan aimed at discrediting the opposition. On the campaign trail, Pashinyan publicly threatened Tsarukyan with personal and physical consequences, using language the hosts describe as unbecoming of a head of government. He also ordered the firing of a contract soldier on the spot after the soldier approached him as a civilian to request a salary increase, an episode the hosts say sends a damaging message to Armenia’s armed forces about how legitimate grievances are handled.
The Swiss Peace Initiative, backed by the Swiss parliament and endorsed by several Armenian opposition parties including A Country to Live, Wings of Unity, and Aprelu Yerkir, received a positive assessment from both hosts. With the OSCE Minsk Group dissolved following a joint Armenia-Azerbaijan move, the hosts see the Swiss initiative as one of the only remaining international avenues to keep the question of Artsakh Armenians’ rights, return, and property on the global agenda. Strong Armenia had not yet signed at the time of recording. The hosts argue that signing the initiative is strategically advantageous for all opposition parties: it is consistent with their platforms, keeps 150,000 displaced Artsakh Armenians visible internationally, and places the ruling party in the position of being the only Armenian political force not advocating for the rights of Armenians. The hosts also caution against dismissing the initiative as futile, arguing that even incremental outcomes, such as supervised visits to graves or property rights discussions, would represent meaningful progress.
The episode closes with an analysis of diverging election polls. The ARM-ES poll published by EVN Report gives Civil Contract 32.5 percent, Strong Armenia 10 percent, and the Armenian Alliance only 4 percent, below the electoral threshold. The hosts flag several methodological concerns: the poll’s “refuse to answer” rate of 25.4 percent is three times higher than the comparable figure in the MPG poll, and a further 14 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, meaning nearly 40 percent of respondents who agreed to be surveyed declined to state a voting preference. Meanwhile, 90 percent of those same respondents said they intended to participate in the elections, a contradiction the hosts say is a likely indicator of sample bias rather than genuine undecidedness. They also note that EVN Report is an editorially pro-Pashinyan outlet, and argue that even without deliberate falsification, institutional affiliation and interviewer tone can shape which respondents choose to engage and what answers they provide. The hosts say these methodological gaps, particularly the absence of published non-response rates across Armenian polling firms, make it difficult to draw reliable conclusions from any single poll.
Watch/Listen: Episode 545
Keywords: EPC summit, Armenia-EU declaration, TRIPP, Armenian Nuclear Power Plant, parliamentary elections, Swiss Peace Initiative, Artsakh, election polling
Dr. Arman Grigoryan, Associate Professor of International Relations at Lehigh University, returns to Groong to present the core argument of his forthcoming paper in Security Studies: that Pashinyan’s post-2020 foreign policy is not a sober course correction after military defeat, but a continuation of the same revolutionary recklessness that contributed to the disaster in the first place. Before the 2020 war, Grigoryan argues, Pashinyan’s government was driven by maximalist nationalist mythology, hardline rhetoric on Karabakh, and a willful disregard for the actual distribution of power in the region. After the war, the agenda shifted dramatically, but the underlying pathology did not. The new project is the “liberation” of Armenia from Russia, pursued through strategic reorientation toward the West, normalization with Azerbaijan and Turkey, and the deliberate dismantling of the existing security architecture, including the surrender of Artsakh as an acceptable price for that pivot. Grigoryan draws a direct line from the pre-war identity project to the post-war one, arguing that revolutionary movements characteristically pursue total transformation rather than incremental adaptation, and that Pashinyan’s team fits that profile precisely.
A central theme of the conversation is the gap between Western rhetoric and actual security commitments. Grigoryan walks through the evidence methodically: the text of the TRIPP agreement explicitly states it does not constitute a security guarantee; the strategic partnership document signed with the Biden administration contains no meaningful security component; and when U.S. Ambassador Kristina Kvien was asked point-blank what Washington would offer Armenia in exchange for severing ties with Russia, her answer amounted to armored ambulances, food storage facilities, and English-language instruction for Karabakh refugees. Grigoryan also highlights a Radio Liberty interview with former U.S. diplomat James O’Brien, in which O’Brien openly argued that Armenia should not implement paragraph 9 of the November 2020 ceasefire agreement and that Russia should be excluded entirely from any resulting connectivity project. For Grigoryan, TRIPP is transparently a geopolitical project aimed at circumventing Russia and linking Turkey and Europe to Central Asia, dressed up in the language of economic connectivity for domestic Armenian consumption. He and the hosts agree that the project’s prospects under the current Trump administration, especially given the unfolding U.S. strategic debacle in Iran, are dim at best.
The conversation also examines the internal logic of Pashinyan’s identity project and its relationship to Armenian history and symbolism. Grigoryan notes the striking reversal: before 2020, Pashinyan was out-competing hardline nationalists with maximalist rhetoric about Artsakh and references to Hayk Nahapet and Tigran the Great. After the war, the same leader began actively dismantling core symbols of Armenian national identity, with allies in his orbit floating narratives that partially echo Turkish historical framing of the genocide. Grigoryan does not dismiss legitimate criticisms of the previous Armenian political establishment or of Russia’s reliability as a security partner. His argument is sharper: even granting Russian failures, the relevant question is not whether Russia has been a good ally, but what the consequences of having Russia as an active adversary would be, and whether the West has offered anything credible to fill that gap. He finds no evidence that it has. On Azerbaijan, he argues that Aliyev’s stated goals point toward a Versailles-style peace, one designed to leave Armenia permanently subordinate rather than genuinely secure, and that pursuing a peace treaty and security architecture based on Western goodwill in that context is strategically incoherent.
Watch/Listen: Episode 546
Keywords: Arman Grigoryan, revolutionary recklessness, Armenia-Russia relations, TRIPP, Artsakh, Western security guarantees, Pashinyan foreign policy, South Caucasus geopolitics
Armenia’s official campaign period for the June 7 parliamentary elections kicked off with 19 parties and alliances competing for seats, framing the vote as a fundamental choice between continued European integration and a return to Russia’s orbit. Pashinyan has cast the election as a referendum on the peace process with Azerbaijan, while opposition forces, including the Hayastan bloc led by former President Robert Kocharyan, the Prosperous Armenia party of Gagik Tsarukyan, and the Strong Armenia alliance of Russian-Armenian tycoon Samvel Karapetyan, have accused the ruling Civil Contract party of surrendering national interests and serving foreign agendas.
Foreign interference dominated the first week of campaigning. A leaked Russian document titled “Programme for Work in the Anti-Pashinyan Direction for 2026” outlined plans to intensify pro-Russian narratives and cultivate pro-Kremlin opinion-makers ahead of the vote. The UK sanctioned 85 individuals and entities linked to Russia’s Social Design Agency over the influence operation. A separate Russian-linked disinformation network was found circulating fabricated narratives about a potential Armenia-Russia war. PACE observers visiting Yerevan warned that foreign interference had taken on an “increasingly complex and systematic nature,” while the Council of Europe said the freedom of the elections was under threat.
Serious irregularities and abuses of administrative resources marked the opening days of the campaign. Schoolteachers and students in Aragatsotn province were reported to have been ordered to attend Civil Contract campaign rallies during school hours, prompting condemnation from election monitors and, subsequently, Pashinyan’s announcement that four school principals had submitted resignation letters at his instruction. Similar allegations emerged from Armavir province, where college students were reportedly pressured to attend Pashinyan rallies. The Central Electoral Commission and the Human Rights Defender issued mild rebukes without directly naming Civil Contract.
Law enforcement agencies, including the Anti-Corruption Committee, launched a wave of arrests and raids targeting opposition parties on vote-buying charges, with multiple cases opened against affiliates of Strong Armenia and the Hayastan bloc, including a raid on the bloc’s Spitak headquarters. Opposition forces accused the government of using prosecutions to obstruct their campaigns, while authorities defended the actions as legitimate anti-corruption enforcement. A pro-government mayor who distributed public funds to local residents ahead of the vote avoided charges. Pashinyan also filed a defamation lawsuit against Karapetyan over a claim that the prime minister uses hallucinogenic mushrooms, and publicly vowed to imprison Tsarukyan’s fugitive son and return Kocharyan to jail.
Broader concerns about democratic backsliding drew international attention. A CBC report featuring former Human Rights Watch president Kenneth Roth flagged political prisoners and pressure on the opposition. The Economist noted that Pashinyan’s leadership style features far more monologue than dialogue. Armenian-language commentary in 168.am and Verelq raised alarm about rising inflation eroding living standards, the government’s use of state resources for pre-election handouts, voter list irregularities flagged by opposition figures, and a detained blogger who had called Pashinyan a traitor, arrested in front of his pregnant wife. Deputy Prime Minister Mher Grigoryan acknowledged that Armenia cannot simultaneously hold membership in both the EU and the Eurasian Economic Union, saying any decision to leave the Russia-led bloc would ultimately be put to a public vote.
Armenia publicly debuted French-supplied CAESAR 155mm self-propelled howitzers during rehearsals for the May 28 Republic Day military parade in Yerevan. Pashinyan framed the parade as a public accounting of his government’s defense reforms, which have included over 460 million USD in domestic defense industry contracts over the past three years. India’s DRDO is also reported to be developing a 300km export variant of the Pralay tactical missile in discussions with Armenia, underscoring the country’s ongoing push to diversify its military procurement away from Russian-origin systems.
Pashinyan sparked sharp domestic controversy by calling the Karabakh movement “a fatal mistake for Armenia” during campaign events ahead of the June 7 parliamentary elections. Critics, including opposition figures, quickly circulated his prior statements contradicting that position. Former President Kocharian, also campaigning, argued that a durable peace with Azerbaijan is only achievable if guaranteed by major external powers, a direct rebuke to Pashinyan’s stance that Armenia does not need, and should not seek, external security guarantors.
On the peace process and border delimitation, Pashinyan confirmed that Armenia and Azerbaijan have agreed to continue border delimitation from north to south, and reiterated his government’s position on the enclave issue, including Armenia’s sovereign claim to Artsvashen. Armenian and Azerbaijani experts held informal discussions in London on the state and risks of the peace process, while contacts between the two countries also expanded into economic areas, including potential energy cooperation on oil products and possibly natural gas from Azerbaijan.
Jailed former Artsakh Foreign Minister Davit Babayan issued an audio appeal from his prison cell in Baku, calling the proceedings against him and other Artsakh detainees “an ethno-political vendetta” rather than a legitimate legal process. Separately, reports and monitoring of Azerbaijani social media documented the destruction of a cemetery for fallen Armenian fighters in the Martakert district of occupied Artsakh, drawing condemnation from the Artsakh cultural heritage ombudsman.
An Atlantic Council dispatch argued that the Trump administration should pursue a “grand deal” with Azerbaijan, proposing to lift US arms sale restrictions in exchange for Baku releasing its political prisoners, drawing on a model the White House has used with Belarus. The piece noted that upcoming Armenian elections and the still-unsigned peace agreement make this a critical window for US engagement in the South Caucasus.
Ireland’s failure to formally recognize the Armenian Genocide created a diplomatic awkwardness during Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin’s visit to Yerevan, with commentators noting the inconsistency between Dublin’s reluctance on Armenia and its clearer stance on Gaza. Separately, a Fowler, California mayor blocked an Armenian-American city councilman and genocide survivor descendant from speaking at a local genocide memorial, comparing the event to a quinceañera, triggering a public backlash at a subsequent council meeting. At UC Berkeley, an ASUC senator wrote in the student paper calling on the university to take a firmer stance on Armenian Genocide recognition, reflecting ongoing campus advocacy efforts.
Armenia did not advance to the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 final in Vienna, with representative SIMÓN performing sixth in the second semifinal but failing to qualify. The result drew additional attention after Israeli broadcaster Kan 11 mistakenly displayed the Azerbaijani flag to represent Armenia during its live coverage, sparking social media criticism.
Yerevan is set to host the Eurovision Young Musicians 2026 competition on June 6, the birthday of composer Aram Khachaturian, drawing participants from 11 countries. Armenia will also host the prestigious Concours Mondial de Bruxelles international wine competition from May 19–23, highlighting the country’s growing profile as a cultural and culinary destination. A National Geographic Traveller feature by a photography duo who spent six months in Armenia also drew international attention to the country’s cuisine, winemaking traditions, and agricultural heritage.
The Armenian Museum of America in Watertown, Massachusetts extended its landmark Arshile Gorky exhibition through September 27 due to strong public interest, and announced an upcoming debut of photographer Diana Markosian’s “Father” exhibit opening May 29. A documentary on Armenian Genocide restitution, “What’s Next?”, was screened at Fresno State, and new literary works including a memoir by Aram Saroyan and a genocide-era novel were highlighted in the Armenian-American press. The “Remain in Light” poetry anthology was featured in a virtual Literary Lights reading event co-sponsored by the Fowler Museum at UCLA.
Urgent preservation efforts are underway for the Sourp Magar monastery in Cyprus’s Pentadaktylos mountains, where roofs have already collapsed and walls are cracking. In Georgia’s Samtskhe-Javakheti region, the St. Mark Armenian Church in Akhaltsikhe was vandalized by unknown assailants who removed religious relics later found discarded in a trash bin. In Beirut, Armenian Catholic Patriarch Raphaël Bedros XXI Minassian received Egypt’s ambassador to Lebanon, reflecting continued engagement between Armenian church leadership and regional diplomatic figures.
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