Show Notes

Date = 2025-11-01T00:11:00-07:00 upcoming = false

title = “Trita Parsi - Prospect, Grounds and Consequences of a Second Israeli War on Iran  | Ep 482, Nov 1, 2025” subtitle = “Conversations on Groong - Recorded on: October 30, 2025”

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episode_image = “img/episode/482/thumbnail-482.webp” episode_banner = “img/episode/482/banner-482.webp” images = [“img/episode/482/banner-482.webp”]

hosts = [“hovik”, “asbed”] guests = [“tparsi”]

episode = “482” aliases = ["/482"]

series = [“cog”] categories = [“Middle East”, “Iran”] tags = [“Armenian News”, “Trita Parsi”, “Iran”, “Israel”, “Nuclear Program”, “Nuclear Weapons”, “Regime Change”, “Quincy Institute”, “Responsible Statecraft”, “Palestine”, “Gaza”, “Gaza Genocide”, “Greater Israel”, “Syria”, “USA”, “EU”, “Europe”, “Iraq War”, “Armenia”, “TRIPP”, “South Caucasus”, “Azerbaijan”, “Donald Trump”, “Benjamin Netanyahu”, “Iran Israel War”, “Israel Iran Conflict”, “Natanz”, “Isfahan”, “Fordow”, “US-Iran”, “Nuclear Talks”, “NPT”, “Non-Proliferation”, “Abraham Accords”, “Ayatollah Khamenei”, “Middle East Conflict”, “MAGA”, “Charlie Kirk”, “Doha”, “Qatar”]

Description = """

Groong Links:

• GIVE to GROONG
• linktr.ee/Groong

Guest:

• Dr. Trita Parsi, EVP, Quincy Institute

Topics:

• Timing and intent for an Israel and Iran clash
• Unfinished business from the June war
• US role, limited support or full engagement
• Iran’s escalation ladder and Caucasus spillover scenarios

Episode 482 | Recorded on October 30, 2025"""

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A deep dive with Dr. Trita Parsi on whether Israel will strike Iran again, why June’s war left “unfinished business,” how much Israel depends on the United States, what Iran’s rapid-response playbook looks like after June, and how a wider fight could spill into the South Caucasus and affect Armenia. Recorded Oct 30, 2025.

Main Topics Addressed

• Timing and intent for an Israel–Iran clash.
• Unfinished business from the June war.
• The US role, limited support or full entry.
• Iran’s escalation ladder and Caucasus spillover scenarios.

Key Questions Discussed

• Does the December timetable still hold, and what could cancel the war outright.
• What Israel would need to achieve in the first 48 hours to claim success.
• Can Washington avoid being dragged in, and what thresholds shift a limited role to full entry.
• How ready Iran is, what rungs exist on its escalation ladder, and what a Hormuz disruption would mean.
• How a war could spill into the South Caucasus, including Armenia’s exposure and US moves in the region.

Wrap-up

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