Groong Links:
Guest:
Topics:
- Ceasefire Terms:
- Negotiation Dynamics
- Posturing & International Pressure
- Risks & Challenges
Episode 422 | Recorded: March 12, 2025
Show Notes
Today we’re talking with negotiations expert Arthur G. Martirosyan about the recently announced Ukraine-U.S. ceasefire proposal from the Jeddah talks. While Kyiv and Washington have reached an agreement, Russia has yet to respond—leaving major questions about the deal’s viability. What does each side stand to gain? What are the risks? And is this a real step toward peace or just another pause in the conflict? Let’s dive in.
Main Topics Addressed
- Overview of the Ukraine-U.S. ceasefire proposal negotiated in Jeddah
- Russia’s pending response and its implications
- Negotiation strategies and leverage at play in the ceasefire deal
- Enforcement challenges and risks if the ceasefire is implemented
- International posturing and diplomatic pressure from the U.S., EU, and Ukraine
Key Questions Discussed
- What are the key terms of the Ukraine-U.S. ceasefire proposal?
- What are the negotiation strategies behind the deal, and what leverage does each side hold?
- If Russia refuses the proposal, what are its best alternatives (BATNA)?
- How does public posturing from the U.S., Ukraine, and EU affect Russia’s decision-making?
- What are the biggest risks and challenges of enforcing this ceasefire?
- Can the U.S. walk away from this deal, or is it too invested?
- Is this a real step toward peace, or just another temporary pause?
Referenced Articles & Sources
- U.S. State Department Joint Statement on Jeddah Talks
- EU’s response to the ceasefire proposal
- Marco Rubio’s statement on Russia’s responsibility
Wrap-up
That’s our show! We hope you found it useful. Please find us on Social Media and follow us everywhere you get your Armenian news.
Thanks to Laura Osborn for the music on our podcasts.
Guests
Arthur G. Martirosyan
Arthur G. Martirosyan, who is a Senior Consultant with CM Partners. In 1994, after graduating from Yale University, he joined Conflict Management Group and Harvard Negotiation Project, and has since worked on conflicts in the former Soviet Union, the Middle East, the Balkans, Africa, and Latin America.
Hosts
Hovik Manucharyan
Hovik Manucharyan is an information security engineer who moved from Seattle to Armenia in 2022. He co-founded the ANN/Groong podcast in 2020 and has been a contributor to Groong News since the late 1990s.
Disclaimer: The views expressed by Hovik Manucharyan on the ANN/Groong podcast are his own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of his employer or any other organization.