Dziunik Aghajanian - Peace Plan 2019, Corridor Talks, Armenia Domestic Politics, World Politics | Ep 416, Feb 16, 2025 [EP416]

Posted on Wednesday, Feb 19, 2025 | Category: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Middle East | Series: wir, video

Guest:

Topics:

  • World Politics
  • Plan, or No Plan?
  • Corridor Talk
  • Domestic Politics

Episode 416 | Recorded: February 17, 2025

Show Notes

Topics Covered

  • Plan, or No Plan? - Pashinyan’s acknowledgment of the 2019 OSCE MG peace plan and its implications for Armenia’s geopolitical strategy.
  • Corridor Talk - Armenia-Azerbaijan transit negotiations, Azerbaijan’s expectations, and Armenia’s stance on the corridor.
  • Domestic Politics - Robert Kocharyan’s press conference, his political future, and potential opposition movements.
  • World Politics - US-Russia relations, shifts in NATO strategies, European reactions, and diplomatic consequences.
  • Middle East Developments - Trump’s controversial Gaza proposal, renewed sanctions on Iran, and regional realignments.
  • Russia-Azerbaijan Relations - Diplomatic and economic tensions, Moscow’s response to Aliyev’s moves, and possible retaliatory measures.
  • Economic Pressures - The impact of regional instability on Armenia’s economy, trade relations, and foreign investments.
  • Global Military Realignments - Shifts in defense policies, emerging military alliances, and strategic positioning.

Key Questions Discussed

Plan, or No Plan?

  • Why did Pashinyan acknowledge the 2019 peace plan now?
  • How does the 2019 proposal compare to the current situation for Artsakh Armenians?
  • Why did Pashinyan refuse to continue negotiations under the OSCE framework?
  • What political ramifications does this shift bring for Armenia and its regional allies?
  • How does this impact Armenia’s negotiating power?

Corridor Talk

  • What does the Armenian government’s contradictory stance on the ‘Zangezur corridor’ suggest?
  • If Azerbaijan is being granted “unhindered transit,” why is there no peace treaty yet?
  • How do international stakeholders view the corridor negotiations?
  • What are the potential consequences for Armenia’s sovereignty?
  • Can alternative diplomatic solutions be proposed?

Domestic Politics

  • What were the key takeaways from Robert Kocharyan’s press conference?
  • Is this the start of a political comeback for the former president?
  • How might Russia and Iran signal their support for Armenian opposition forces?
  • How has public sentiment shifted in response to Kocharyan’s statements?
  • What does this mean for upcoming parliamentary elections?

World Politics

  • Is Trump pursuing transactional diplomacy or rethinking US-Russia relations?
  • Could European NATO allies realistically increase their defense budgets?
  • Is the EU at a crossroads given the geopolitical shifts?
  • How does the US, Russia, and China dynamic affect global stability?
  • What are the long-term security consequences of these developments?

Middle East

  • Will Jordan and Egypt support Trump’s Gaza ‘Riviera’ proposal?
  • What does the return of “maximum pressure” on Iran mean for regional stability?
  • How does Turkey’s involvement in Syria influence Middle Eastern politics?
  • What is the likelihood of renewed conflict escalation in the region?
  • How does Israel’s strategic positioning play into these developments?

Russia-Azerbaijan Relations

  • Is the worsening Moscow-Baku relationship about the AZAL flight crash, or are there deeper geopolitical factors?
  • How do Azerbaijan’s recent political maneuvers affect its standing with Russia?
  • Could Russia impose economic sanctions or military deterrents against Azerbaijan?
  • What role does Iran play in shifting Russia-Azerbaijan dynamics?
  • How could these developments impact Armenia’s regional position?

US-Russia Relations:

Middle East & Iran:

Armenia & Azerbaijan:

Internal Politics:

Wrap-up

That’s our Week in Review, we hope you found it helpful. We invite your feedback and your suggestions, you can find us on most social media and podcast platforms.

Thanks to Laura Osborn for the music on our podcasts.

Guests

Dziunik Aghajanian

Dziunik Aghajanian

Ms. Dziunik Aghajanian has served Armenia through the ranks of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and most recently as a diplomat, as Armenia’s Ambassador to such countries as the Netherlands, Malaysia, and Indonesia. She received her education at Yerevan State University, Columbia University in NY, and Uppsala University in Sweden.

Hosts

Hovik Manucharyan

Hovik Manucharyan

Hovik Manucharyan is an information security engineer who moved from Seattle to Armenia in 2022. He co-founded the ANN/Groong podcast in 2020 and has been a contributor to Groong News since the late 1990s.

Disclaimer: The views expressed by Hovik Manucharyan on the ANN/Groong podcast are his own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of his employer or any other organization.

Asbed Bedrossian

Asbed Bedrossian

Asbed is founder of the Armenian News Network Groong and co-founder of the ANN/Groong podcast.

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